Market Context by Polymarket
The Next UK leader of the Conservatives? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Kemi Badenoch currently leads at 100%, ahead of Suella Braverman at 0% and James Cleverly at 0%, across 10 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $8.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party in the UK.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Next UK leader of the Conservatives??
Kemi Badenoch leads at 100%, followed by Suella Braverman at 0% and James Cleverly at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 10 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Next UK leader of the Conservatives??
Kemi Badenoch, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Next UK leader of the Conservatives? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Next UK leader of the Conservatives??
$8.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 10 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Next UK leader of the Conservatives??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.