Market Context by Polymarket

The Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 19 August 2024.

Cumulative volume on this market is $474K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention??

Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on Kamala be Nominee before Convention??

Yes, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Will Kamala be Nominee before Convention? market resolve?

The market resolves on 19 August 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Kamala be Nominee before Convention??

$474K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Kamala be Nominee before Convention??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.