Market Context by Polymarket

The Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. $4000 currently leads at 100%, ahead of $2000 at 0%. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.

Cumulative volume on this market is $2.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on whether Ethereum ($ETH) will first reach $2000.00 USD or $4000.00 USD between August 07, 2024, 1 PM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "$2000" if $ETH drops to $2000.00 USD or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "$4000" if $ETH reaches $4000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $ETH neither drops to $2000.00 or below nor reaches $4000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "High" and "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETHUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first??

$4000 leads at 100%, followed by $2000 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first??

$4000, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first? market resolve?

The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first??

$2.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first??

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?

Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.