Market Context by Polymarket
The Who will speak at the DNC? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Jill Biden currently leads at 100%, ahead of Michelle Obama at 100% and Barack Obama at 100%, across 15 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 22 August 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market group over who which people will speak at the Democratic National Convention (DNC) in 2024.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Who will speak at the DNC??
Jill Biden leads at 100%, followed by Michelle Obama at 100% and Barack Obama at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 15 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on speak at the DNC??
Jill Biden, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Who will speak at the DNC? market resolve?
The market resolves on 22 August 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on speak at the DNC??
$1.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 15 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on speak at the DNC??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.