Market Context by Polymarket
The Kamala Harris blowout victory? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 5 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election by 100 or more electoral votes versus her closest competitor. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a candidate will be considered to have won all electoral votes from a territory if they win the plurality of the votes, faithless electors shall have no effect on the outcome. This market's resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting on the final electoral college tally based on which territories each candidate wins.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Kamala Harris blowout victory??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Kamala Harris blowout victory??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Kamala Harris blowout victory? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Kamala Harris blowout victory??
$2.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Kamala Harris blowout victory??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.