Market Context by Polymarket
The CA-27 election: Whitesides (D) vs. Garcia (R) market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Whitesides currently leads at 100%, ahead of Garcia at 0%. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $389K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
United States general elections are scheduled to take place on November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to "Whitesides" if Democrat George Whitesides wins the congressional election in California's 27th district. This market will resolve to "Garcia" if Republican Mike Garcia wins the congressional election in California's 27th district. If any other candidate wins the election, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for CA-27 election: Whitesides (D) vs. Garcia (R)?
Whitesides leads at 100%, followed by Garcia at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on CA-27 election: Whitesides (D) vs. Garcia?
Whitesides, at 100% implied probability.
How does the CA-27 election: Whitesides (D) vs. Garcia (R) market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on CA-27 election: Whitesides (D) vs. Garcia?
$389K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on CA-27 election: Whitesides (D) vs. Garcia?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.