Market Context by Polymarket
The RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 23 August 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $486K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
On August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or endorses Trump for President of the United States during his Friday address. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. does not give a public address on August 23, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorses Trump before his public address and then reiterates his support during his address, this will qualify. However, endorsements directly before or after the address will not qualify alone - he must mention his support of Trump during the address. The resolution source for this market will be live footage of the address or official information from RFK Jr. and his campaign, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday addre?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address? market resolve?
The market resolves on 23 August 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday addre?
$486K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday addre?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.