Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Kamala Harris drop out in September? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 30 September 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $339K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris withdraws from or officially announces her withdrawal from the 2024 US presidential race, or announces the suspension of her 2024 US presidential campaign, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Kamala Harris from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Kamala Harris does not announce her withdrawal or campaign's suspension, or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Kamala Harris or her official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Kamala Harris drop out in September??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Kamala Harris drop out in September??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Kamala Harris drop out in September? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 September 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Kamala Harris drop out in September??
$339K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Kamala Harris drop out in September??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.