Market Context by Polymarket
The Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 5 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $4.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris individually or Donald Trump individually win every swing state in the 2024 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market considers the following states as "swing states": Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources haven’t called the race in the listed states for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on either Kamala or Trump win every swing sta?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? market resolve?
The market resolves on 5 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on either Kamala or Trump win every swing sta?
$4.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on either Kamala or Trump win every swing sta?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.