Market Context by Polymarket
The Bitcoin up on Nov 6? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 6 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $321K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on November 7, 2024, 00:00 ET has a final "Close" price greater than the final 1 minute candle "Close" price for November 6, 2024, 00:00 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Close" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin up on Nov 6? ?
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Bitcoin up on Nov 6??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Bitcoin up on Nov 6? market resolve?
The market resolves on 6 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Bitcoin up on Nov 6??
$321K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Bitcoin up on Nov 6??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.