Market Context by Polymarket
The What day will the AP call the election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Wednesday, Nov 6 currently leads at 100%, ahead of Tuesday, Nov 5 at 3% and Saturday, Nov 9 at 1%, across 17 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 9 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting the exact day the Associated Press will declare the election results.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for What day will the AP call the election??
Wednesday, Nov 6 leads at 100%, followed by Tuesday, Nov 5 at 3% and Saturday, Nov 9 at 1%. Odds reflect live trading across 17 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on What day will the AP call the election??
Wednesday, Nov 6, at 100% implied probability.
How does the What day will the AP call the election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 9 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on What day will the AP call the election??
$1.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 17 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on What day will the AP call the election??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.