Market Context by Polymarket
The Who will be part of Trump's Administration? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Elon Musk currently leads at 100%, ahead of RFK Jr. at 100% and Doug Burgum at 100%, across 23 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $7.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on who will be in the Trump White House.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Who will be part of Trump's Administration??
Elon Musk leads at 100%, followed by RFK Jr. at 100% and Doug Burgum at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 23 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on be part of Trump's Administration??
Elon Musk, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Who will be part of Trump's Administration? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on be part of Trump's Administration??
$7.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 23 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on be part of Trump's Administration??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.