Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 29 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.2M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between November 4, 2024 and April 29, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. To count toward the resolution of this market, an armistice, ceasefire, and/or negotiated settlement must be indicative of at least a temporary pause in the Israel-Hamas military conflict must pertain to the entirety of Gaza, and be declared through official channels by both parties. A humanitarian pause will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? market resolve?
The market resolves on 29 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days??
$1.2M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.