Market Context by Polymarket
The Ireland General Election market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Fianna Fáil (FF) currently leads at 100%, ahead of Sinn Féin (SF) at 0% and Fine Gael (FG) at 0%, across 4 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 29 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on the outcome and results of the 2024 Irish general election.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Ireland General Election?
Fianna Fáil (FF) leads at 100%, followed by Sinn Féin (SF) at 0% and Fine Gael (FG) at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 4 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Ireland General Election?
Fianna Fáil (FF), at 100% implied probability.
How does the Ireland General Election market resolve?
The market resolves on 29 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Ireland General Election?
$1.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 4 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Ireland General Election?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.