Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Thursday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 28 November 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $382K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between November 25, 2024, 12:00 and November 28, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $100,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Thursday??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Bitcoin hit $100k by Thursday??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Thursday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 28 November 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Bitcoin hit $100k by Thursday??
$382K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Bitcoin hit $100k by Thursday??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.