Market Context by Polymarket
The December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC) market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 1.25-1.29 currently leads at 100%, ahead of <1.20 at 0% and 1.20-1.24 at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2024.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market group over the temperature increase the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2024.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
1.25-1.29 leads at 100%, followed by <1.20 at 0% and 1.20-1.24 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
1.25-1.29, at 100% implied probability.
How does the December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC) market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
$2.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on December 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.