Will Oasis break up before their tour?

Oasis is scheduled to begin their concert tour "Oasis Live '25 Tour" on July 4, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Noel Gallagher or Liam Gallagher announce that they are leaving the band Oasis by July 3, 11:59 PM GMT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that either Noel or Liam has left the band will also suffice for a "Yes" resolution.