Market Context by Polymarket

The 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Sonic currently leads at 100%, ahead of Mufasa at 0%. The market resolves on 23 December 2024.

Cumulative volume on this market is $778K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a market on whether 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) or 'Sonic 3' (2024) will gross more domestically on their opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Mufasa-The-Lion-King-(2024)#tab=box-office and https://the-numbers.com/movie/Sonic-the-Hedgehog-3-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 20 - 22) for each film are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Mufasa" if 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses more than what 'Sonic 3' (2024) grosses on its 3-day domestic opening weekend. This market will resolve to "Sonic" if 'Sonic 3' (2024) grosses more than what 'Mufasa: The Lion King' (2024) grosses on its 3-day domestic opening weekend. If both films gross exactly the same amount, this market will resolve 50-50. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office??

Sonic leads at 100%, followed by Mufasa at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.

Who is the favourite on 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box?

Sonic, at 100% implied probability.

How does the 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office? market resolve?

The market resolves on 23 December 2024. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box?

$778K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds?

Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.