Market Context by Polymarket

The Belarus Presidential Election market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Alexander Lukashenko currently leads at 100%, ahead of Person A at 100% and Person B at 100%, across 13 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 26 January 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $7.5M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This is a negrisk market group over who will win the Belarusian presidential election scheduled for January 26, 2025.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Belarus Presidential Election?

Alexander Lukashenko leads at 100%, followed by Person A at 100% and Person B at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 13 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on Belarus Election?

Alexander Lukashenko, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Belarus Presidential Election market resolve?

The market resolves on 26 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on Belarus Election?

$7.5M has traded cumulatively on this market across 13 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on Belarus Election?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.