Market Context by Polymarket
The Who will Biden pardon? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Fauci currently leads at 100%, ahead of Adam Schiff at 100% and Liz Cheney at 100%, across 12 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 20 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $26M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This is a market on predicting which individuals President Biden will grant pardons to.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Who will Biden pardon??
Fauci leads at 100%, followed by Adam Schiff at 100% and Liz Cheney at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 12 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Biden pardon??
Fauci, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Who will Biden pardon? market resolve?
The market resolves on 20 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Biden pardon??
$26M has traded cumulatively on this market across 12 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Biden pardon??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.