Market Context by Polymarket
The Maduro out by...? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. March 31, 2026 currently leads at 100%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 100% and January 31, 2026 at 100%, across 6 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2026.
Cumulative volume on this market is $57M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Venezuela's president, Nicolás Maduro, is removed from power for any length of time between January 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Nicolás Maduro will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Venezuela within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Maduro out by...??
March 31, 2026 leads at 100%, followed by December 31, 2026 at 100% and January 31, 2026 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 6 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Maduro out by...??
March 31, 2026, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Maduro out by...? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2026. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Maduro out by...??
$57M has traded cumulatively on this market across 6 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Maduro out by...??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.