Market Context by Polymarket
The Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 28 February 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $3.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
On December 30, MicroStrategy announced that, " the Company, together with its subsidiaries, held an aggregate of approximately 446,400 bitcoins" (see: https://assets.contentstack.io/v3/assets/bltb564490bc5201f31/blt86aee42aac939a6f/6772966708d14f09dfda7bd4/form-8-k_12-30-2024.pdf). This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy holds 500,000 or more bitcoins at any point by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? market resolve?
The market resolves on 28 February 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March??
$3.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.