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Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has agreed to a ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between itself and Hamas between January 15, 10:00 AM ET and January 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. If Israel officially announces an agreement before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterwards. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from Israel, however a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating Israel has announced an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas has been reached will suffice.

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