Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8?
On January 15, Israel reportedly signed an agreement stipulating that they withdraw completely from the Philadelphi corridor "no later than the 50th day after the deal comes into effect" (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/15/what-do-we-know-about-the-israel-gaza-ceasefire-deal) . This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from the Philadelphi corridor in Gaza between January 15 and March 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have completely withdrawn from the Philadelphi corridor in Gaza, regardless of whether some Israeli ground forces remain in the Philadelphi corridor in Gaza. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.