Market Context by Polymarket
The Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2025? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. United Kingdom currently leads at 100%, ahead of Israel at 100% and Canada at 100%, across 19 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $6.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 15 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2025??
United Kingdom leads at 100%, followed by Israel at 100% and Canada at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 19 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on countries will Donald Trump 2025?
United Kingdom, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2025? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on countries will Donald Trump 2025?
$6.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 19 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on countries will Donald Trump 2025?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.