Market Context by Polymarket
The How many Executive Orders will Trump issue in his first week? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 25-49 currently leads at 100%, ahead of <25 at 0% and 50-74 at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 27 January 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $500K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve according to the number of executive orders Donald Trump as US President issues and signs between January 20 and January 27, 2025. The resolution source for this market is the the Office of the Federal Register (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders) however official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) may also be used. Only executive orders with issuance dates between January 20-27, (inclusive) will count for this market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for How many Executive Orders will Trump issue in his first week??
25-49 leads at 100%, followed by <25 at 0% and 50-74 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on How many Executive Orders will Trump issue?
25-49, at 100% implied probability.
How does the How many Executive Orders will Trump issue in his first week? market resolve?
The market resolves on 27 January 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on How many Executive Orders will Trump issue?
$500K has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on How many Executive Orders will Trump issue?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.