Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.