Market Context by Polymarket
The Oscars: Best Supporting Actor market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" currently leads at 100%, ahead of Actor C at 100% and Actor D at 100%, across 15 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 2 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $378K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2025 the 97th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 2, 2025. The nominees are scheduled to be announced on January 23. This market will resolve according to the actor who wins the Academy Award for Supporting Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Oscars: Best Supporting Actor?
Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain" leads at 100%, followed by Actor C at 100% and Actor D at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 15 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Oscars: Best Supporting Actor?
Kieran Culkin – "A Real Pain", at 100% implied probability.
How does the Oscars: Best Supporting Actor market resolve?
The market resolves on 2 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Oscars: Best Supporting Actor?
$378K has traded cumulatively on this market across 15 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Oscars: Best Supporting Actor?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on entertainment?
Awards markets are driven by a small number of well-informed traders and industry signals such as guild awards. Volume is usually modest, so prices can move a long way on relatively small trades.