Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 7 February 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $320K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on crude petroleum imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada by February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 7 February 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or?
$320K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.