Market Context by Polymarket
The Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 15 February 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $368K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
President Donald Trump said on Monday that if all the hostages held in Gaza are not returned by Saturday at noon he would propose canceling the Israel-Hamas ceasefire and letting "all hell break loose." (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/trump-gaza-ceasefire-should-end-saturday-if-hostages-not-released-2025-02-10/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancelation of the ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by February 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Satu?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 15 February 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Satu?
$368K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Satu?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.