Market Context by Polymarket
The SAG Award: Best Cast in a Motion Picture market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Conclave currently leads at 100%, ahead of Anora at 0% and A Complete Unknown at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 23 February 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $363K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
The 31st Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2024, will be presented on February 23, 2025, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. This market will resolve according to the film which wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for SAG Award: Best Cast in a Motion Picture?
Conclave leads at 100%, followed by Anora at 0% and A Complete Unknown at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on SAG Award: Best Cast in a Motion Picture?
Conclave, at 100% implied probability.
How does the SAG Award: Best Cast in a Motion Picture market resolve?
The market resolves on 23 February 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on SAG Award: Best Cast in a Motion Picture?
$363K has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on SAG Award: Best Cast in a Motion Picture?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on entertainment?
Awards markets are driven by a small number of well-informed traders and industry signals such as guild awards. Volume is usually modest, so prices can move a long way on relatively small trades.