Market Context by Polymarket
The Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 2 June 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $436K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
German elections are scheduled for February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a coalition agreement (Koalitionsvertrag) for the next German government after the election is officially signed by June 2, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Government coalition formed within 100 day?
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election? market resolve?
The market resolves on 2 June 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Government coalition formed within 100 day?
$436K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Government coalition formed within 100 day?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.