Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 30 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $425K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Dorsey publicly confirms he is Bitcoin creator "Satoshi Nakamoto", or part of a collective called "Satoshi Nakamoto", by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Announcements that are jokes, or otherwise aren't credible won't count. If Dorsey denies being Bitcoin's creator Satoshi Nakamoto between February 20, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is public statements from Jack Dorsey.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before M?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before May? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before M?
$425K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Jack Dorsey confirm he is Satoshi before M?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on crypto?
Crypto markets price rapidly and reflect sentiment shifts within minutes, but they are volatile and prone to sharp reversals on thin liquidity. Volume matters more than price level when judging conviction.