Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 47.5-47.9 currently leads at 100%, ahead of <47.5 at 0% and 48.0-48.4 at 0%, across 6 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 28 February 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $406K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve according to FiveThirtyEight's approval rating for Donald Trump on February 28, 2025. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28??
47.5-47.9 leads at 100%, followed by <47.5 at 0% and 48.0-48.4 at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 6 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28??
47.5-47.9, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28? market resolve?
The market resolves on 28 February 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28??
$406K has traded cumulatively on this market across 6 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump 538 approval rating on Feb 28??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.