Market Context by Polymarket
The Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Polio currently leads at 0%, ahead of COVID-19 at 0% and HPV at 0%, across 6 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.4M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC has completely ended its recommendation for the listed vaccine, meaning it no longer recommends it for any category of individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A reduction in the scope of recommended recipients, or the removal of a recommendation for a specific type of vaccine for the listed disease (e.g. CDC removal of the recommendation for the live oral polio vaccine in 2022) without fully eliminating the recommendation or the removal will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official CDC announcements and guidance published on the CDC website (see: https://www.cdc.gov/acip-recs/hcp/vaccine-specific/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for??
Polio leads at 0%, followed by COVID-19 at 0% and HPV at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 6 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on vaccines will RFK end recommendations for??
Polio, at 0% implied probability.
How does the Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on vaccines will RFK end recommendations for??
$1.4M has traded cumulatively on this market across 6 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on vaccines will RFK end recommendations for??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.