Market Context by Polymarket
The What continent will next Pope be from? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. North America currently leads at 100%, ahead of Europe at 0% and Africa at 0%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $2.8M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to the continent from which the next person announced as the bishop of Rome after Pope Francis is from. The continent where the next Pope was born will be used to determine which continent they are from. If no new pope is announced by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No new Pope in 2025". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Vatican, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for What continent will next Pope be from??
North America leads at 100%, followed by Europe at 0% and Africa at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on What continent will next Pope be from??
North America, at 100% implied probability.
How does the What continent will next Pope be from? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on What continent will next Pope be from??
$2.8M has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on What continent will next Pope be from??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.