Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 30 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $416K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Canadian government imposes a legal or regulatory measure that effectively blocks access to Pornhub from within the United States by April 30, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying government action will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the policy is enacted. However, announcements of future or planned bans will not alone qualify. Technical issues, voluntary actions by Pornhub, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Canadian Government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before Ma?
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before May? market resolve?
The market resolves on 30 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before Ma?
$416K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Canada block Pornhub in the U.S. before Ma?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.