Market Context by Polymarket
The Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Yes currently leads at 100%, ahead of No at 0%. The market resolves on 18 March 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $856K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any previously classified files pertaining to the assassination of John Fitzgerald Kennedy by March 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday??
Yes leads at 100%, followed by No at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday??
Yes, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday? market resolve?
The market resolves on 18 March 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday??
$856K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.