Will Trump agree to sell F-35 to Turkey before May?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will sell F-35 fighter jets to Turkey by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, preliminary discussions, expressions of intent without a finalized agreement, announcements contingent on future conditions, or partial policy changes (e.g., resuming talks without committing to a sale) will not be considered sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration; however, a consensus from credible reporting may also be used.