Market Context by Polymarket
The Who will leave Trump Administration in 2025? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Mike Waltz currently leads at 100%, ahead of Dan Bongino at 100% and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 0%, across 12 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 December 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $3.3M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Who will leave Trump Administration in 2025??
Mike Waltz leads at 100%, followed by Dan Bongino at 100% and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 12 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on leave Trump Administration in 2025??
Mike Waltz, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Who will leave Trump Administration in 2025? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 December 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on leave Trump Administration in 2025??
$3.3M has traded cumulatively on this market across 12 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on leave Trump Administration in 2025??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.