Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4)) market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. March 31 currently leads at 100%, ahead of April 2 at 100% and April 4 at 100%, across 7 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 4 April 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $1.7M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No” In the case of ambiguity this market will use the federal register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4))?
March 31 leads at 100%, followed by April 2 at 100% and April 4 at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 7 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on Trump sign an executive order on...? (Marc?
March 31, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Trump sign an executive order on...? (March 28- April 4)) market resolve?
The market resolves on 4 April 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump sign an executive order on...? (Marc?
$1.7M has traded cumulatively on this market across 7 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump sign an executive order on...? (Marc?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.