Market Context by Polymarket

The Which countries will Trump reduce tariffs on before June? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. Vietnam currently leads at 100%, ahead of Cambodia at 100% and Laos at 100%, across 14 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 31 May 2025.

Cumulative volume on this market is $1M. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.

How this market resolves?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from the listed country by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, item specific tariffs, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting imports from the listed country. Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific provinces provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds for Which countries will Trump reduce tariffs on before June? ?

Vietnam leads at 100%, followed by Cambodia at 100% and Laos at 100%. Odds reflect live trading across 14 outcomes.

Who is the favourite on countries will Trump reduce tariffs on bef?

Vietnam, at 100% implied probability.

How does the Which countries will Trump reduce tariffs on before June? market resolve?

The market resolves on 31 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.

How much money is on countries will Trump reduce tariffs on bef?

$1M has traded cumulatively on this market across 14 outcomes.

Can I see who is betting on countries will Trump reduce tariffs on bef?

Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.

How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?

Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.