Market Context by Polymarket
The Will Trump try and fire Powell before June? market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. No currently leads at 100%, ahead of Yes at 0%. The market resolves on 31 May 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $618K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or raise rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for Will Trump try and fire Powell before June??
No leads at 100%, followed by Yes at 0%. Odds reflect live trading on Polymarket.
Who is the favourite on Trump try and fire Powell before June??
No, at 100% implied probability.
How does the Will Trump try and fire Powell before June? market resolve?
The market resolves on 31 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on Trump try and fire Powell before June??
$618K has traded cumulatively on this market across 2 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on Trump try and fire Powell before June??
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds on politics?
Prediction markets have generally outperformed polling averages on US elections, particularly in the final weeks before a vote. They are weakest far out from an event, when few traders are engaged and volume is thin — check open interest before treating a long-dated price as a forecast.