Market Context by Polymarket
The 'Minecraft' April 30 Box Office market on Polymarket prices the likelihood of each possible outcome as an implied probability. 370-385m currently leads at 100%, ahead of <370m at 0% and 385-400m at 0%, across 5 tradeable outcomes. The market resolves on 7 May 2025.
Cumulative volume on this market is $649K. You can explore live prices, the full outcome list and trader positioning in the analytics above.
How this market resolves?
This market will resolve according to how much "A Minecraft Movie" (2025) will gross domestically by April 30, 2025. The “Box Office” https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)#tab=summary will be used to resolve this market once the values for the the specified date are final (i.e. not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for the Total Gross, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by May 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds for 'Minecraft' April 30 Box Office?
370-385m leads at 100%, followed by <370m at 0% and 385-400m at 0%. Odds reflect live trading across 5 outcomes.
Who is the favourite on 'Minecraft' April 30 Box Office?
370-385m, at 100% implied probability.
How does the 'Minecraft' April 30 Box Office market resolve?
The market resolves on 7 May 2025. Shares in the winning outcome settle at $1.00; all others settle at $0.00. See How this market resolves? above for the official resolution rules.
How much money is on 'Minecraft' April 30 Box Office?
$649K has traded cumulatively on this market across 5 outcomes.
Can I see who is betting on 'Minecraft' April 30 Box Office?
Yes. Polymarket trades are on-chain, so positions are public. Use the holders and traders views on this page to inspect wallets active in this market.
How accurate are Polymarket odds?
Prediction markets tend to be sharper than polls when volume is healthy, because traders lose money for being wrong. Thin markets with little trading are less reliable — treat those prices as a signal, not a certainty.