Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil, airspace, or maritime territory, or against any Indian embassies or consulates, between May 4 and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian territory, airspace, or maritime assets. This includes, for example, a Pakistani airstrike on a site in India or a Pakistani missile landing on Indian territory. Actions such as artillery fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, sanctions, small arms fire, or purely diplomatic confrontations will not count toward resolution. The strike must be either officially acknowledged by the Pakistani government or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.