Open main menu

Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates an airstrike or missile strike on Indian soil between May 7, 2:30 PM ET and May 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact Indian ground territory. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Indian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.