Will courts block Trump's Marines deployment by Friday?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. court issues an order that blocks, restrains, or otherwise prohibits the federal deployment of active duty US Marines to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts, limits, or permanently blocks the implementation of Marines' deployment will qualify, including preliminary injunctions, temporary restraining orders, or final rulings. The deployment must be blocked specifically on the basis of its federalization or use in response to the ongoing unrest in Los Angeles. Court orders that merely address related matters (e.g., conduct of individual troops or general use-of-force guidelines) without restricting the deployment itself will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.