Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announce that the United States is ending its participation in the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran as an active negotiating party by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official announcements will qualify. Informal remarks, statements of intent, or reports of delays, pauses, or tactical shifts will not count unless clearly framed as a decision to withdraw from the negotiations. Statements that the U.S. will no longer attend future rounds, has walked away from talks, or is suspending engagement on the nuclear issue will qualify if presented as official policy. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible repoting may also be used.