U.S. fertility rate up in Q1 2025?

The CDC reported a general fertility rate of 54.6 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q4 2024 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q1 2025 exceeds 54.6, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the CDC does not release general fertility rate data for Q1 2025 by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Resolution will be based on the first published estimate for Q1 2025, regardless of any subsequent revisions. The resolution source will be the CDC’s Vital Statistics Rapid Release.