What RCV round will Mamdani first lead?

This market will resolve to the ranked-choice voting (RCV) round in which Zohran Mamdani first obtains a plurality of active ballots in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary election, based on the final certified vote totals. “Active ballots” are those that are still eligible to be transferred under ranked choice rules in a given round. The resolution source will be the official certified election results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.